NCAA Tournament March Madness

#48 San Diego St

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Projection: next four out

San Diego State’s profile reads like a classic borderline resume because the team’s defensive identity and a clutch neutral victory over Oregon and a neutral win over Colorado State stand out as the resume’s best moments, while lopsided neutral losses to Michigan and Arizona and road setbacks at Boise State, Utah State and New Mexico are the damaging blemishes that committees remember. Road wins at Nevada and UNLV and a hard-fought home victory over New Mexico show the staff can win important games away from home and in-conference, but inconsistency away from hostile environments and a couple of blowout defeats leave doubt. With a neutral game against New Mexico still available, a high-profile result there would flip the narrative, but without it the mix of signature wins and ugly losses explains why the team sits on the wrong side of the safe line.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Long Beach St231W77-45
11/9Idaho St250W73-57
11/18Troy143L108-107
11/24(N)Michigan3L94-54
11/25(N)Oregon99W97-80
11/26(N)Baylor49L91-81
12/3Utah Valley90W77-66
12/10Lamar237W89-71
12/17Air Force345W81-58
12/20(N)Arizona2L68-45
12/30@San Jose St225W81-68
1/3Boise St62W110-107
1/6@Nevada75W73-68
1/10Fresno St132W71-52
1/14@Wyoming98W74-57
1/17New Mexico50W83-79
1/21@Grand Canyon61L70-69
1/24@UNLV108W82-71
1/28Colorado St88W73-50
1/31@Utah St30L71-66
2/3Wyoming98W72-63
2/7@Air Force345W88-54
2/14Nevada75W71-57
2/17Grand Canyon61L73-63
2/21@Colorado St88L83-74
2/25Utah St30W89-72
2/28@New Mexico50L81-76
3/3@Boise St62L86-77
3/6UNLV108W89-86
3/12(N)Colorado St88W71-62
3/14(N)New Mexico5051%
3/14(N)Utah St30L73-62