NCAA Tournament March Madness

#43 San Diego St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: next four out

San Diego State’s placement makes sense because the team’s identity is clear and that identity has produced signature moments away from home and on neutral floors, including the neutral victory over Oregon, road wins at Nevada and UNLV, and a big home triumph over Boise State that show it can win in tough environments. The resume is offset by damaging results that a committee will notice, most notably the heavy neutral setbacks against Michigan and Arizona, an upset loss to Troy and a painful defeat at Grand Canyon that expose offensive inconsistency. The remaining slate offers straightforward chances to reinforce the case with home dates against Nevada, Grand Canyon and UNLV and a crucial home meeting with Utah State while road tests at Colorado State, New Mexico and Boise State are the real opportunities to turn a borderline profile into a comfortably selected one.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Long Beach St231W77-45
11/9Idaho St238W73-57
11/18Troy139L108-107
11/24(N)Michigan1L94-54
11/25(N)Oregon101W97-80
11/26(N)Baylor44L91-81
12/3Utah Valley85W77-66
12/10Lamar201W89-71
12/17Air Force345W81-58
12/20(N)Arizona2L68-45
12/30@San Jose St250W81-68
1/3Boise St56W110-107
1/6@Nevada55W73-68
1/10Fresno St129W71-52
1/14@Wyoming100W74-57
1/17New Mexico45W83-79
1/21@Grand Canyon69L70-69
1/24@UNLV127W82-71
1/28Colorado St97W73-50
1/31@Utah St25L71-66
2/3Wyoming100W72-63
2/7@Air Force345W88-54
2/14Nevada5572%
2/17Grand Canyon6976%
2/21@Colorado St9765%
2/25Utah St2552%
2/28@New Mexico4543%
3/3@Boise St5652%
3/6UNLV12788%